The contrasting form and seasons of these two teams should make this a comfortable away win for Salford City.
Crawley's four-game winless streak, combined with Salford City's own three-game unbeaten run and the visitors' pressing need for the points, should negate any new-manager bounce for Scott Lindsey's relegation-threatened team.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 46%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
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