SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 20.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Crawley Town |
56.09% ( 0.02) | 23.59% ( -0.04) | 20.32% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.38% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.25% ( 0.2) | 49.75% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.24% ( 0.18) | 71.76% ( -0.18) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.44% ( 0.08) | 17.56% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.89% ( 0.14) | 48.11% ( -0.14) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.12% ( 0.14) | 38.88% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.39% ( 0.13) | 75.61% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.87% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.99% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 56.08% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.59% | 0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 1.44% Total : 20.32% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
