Stevenage have won nine of their 11 home games this term, and we think that they will record another victory when they face a Crawley side who are still searching for their first away win of the season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 69.08%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 11.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
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