SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 65.09%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 15.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Colchester United win it was 1-2 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Colchester United |
65.09% ( -0.57) | 19.05% ( 0.25) | 15.86% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 57% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.21% ( -0.55) | 36.79% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.03% ( -0.6) | 58.96% ( 0.6) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.38% ( -0.3) | 10.62% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.57% ( -0.67) | 34.43% ( 0.67) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.77% ( 0.05) | 36.23% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.99% ( 0.05) | 73.01% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Colchester United |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.07)5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.8% Total : 65.09% | 1-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.05% | 1-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.33% Total : 15.86% |
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