Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.