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League Two | Gameweek 26
Jan 11, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
 
ST

Mansfield
3 - 2
Swindon

Maris (4'), McLaughlin (31' pen.), Bowery (43')
Hawkins (15'), O'Toole (63')
FT(HT: 3-1)
McKirdy (28'), Iandolo (89')
Odimayo (30'), Conroy (63'), Hunt (73')

We said: Mansfield Town 2-2 Swindon Town

This has all the makings of an excellent game of football, and we are predicting goals on Tuesday night. Swindon have so much quality in the forward areas, but Mansfield have impressed on home soil this season, and we are backing the two teams to share the spoils in an entertaining affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawSwindon Town
40.4%25.89%33.7%
Both teams to score 54.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.95%50.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.98%72.02%
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55%24.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.11%58.89%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74%28.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.02%63.97%
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 40.4%
    Swindon Town 33.7%
    Draw 25.88%
Mansfield TownDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 9.73%
2-1 @ 8.66%
2-0 @ 6.85%
3-1 @ 4.07%
3-0 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 1.43%
4-0 @ 1.13%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 40.4%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 6.91%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.73%
1-2 @ 7.77%
0-2 @ 5.52%
1-3 @ 3.27%
0-3 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 2.31%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 33.7%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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