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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Crawley Town |
40.24% ( 0.12) | 24.47% ( -0.01) | 35.29% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 59.5% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.68% ( 0.01) | 43.33% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.28% ( 0.01) | 65.72% ( -0.02) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.43% ( 0.06) | 21.58% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.34% ( 0.1) | 54.67% ( -0.1) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.87% ( -0.06) | 24.13% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.57% ( -0.08) | 58.43% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 40.24% | 1-1 @ 11.35% 2-2 @ 6.19% 0-0 @ 5.21% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 35.29% |
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