SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.44%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
31.26% ( -1.37) | 23.29% ( 0.51) | 45.44% ( 0.86) |
| Both teams to score 62.35% ( -2.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.01% ( -3.11) | 38.99% ( 3.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.68% ( -3.34) | 61.31% ( 3.33) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.6% ( -2.29) | 24.4% ( 2.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.18% ( -3.34) | 58.81% ( 3.33) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.47% ( -0.89) | 17.52% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.96% ( -1.57) | 48.03% ( 1.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crawley Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.48)2-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.3)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.36)3-0 @ 2% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.21)Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.26% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.29)0-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.6)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.26)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.85)0-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.57)1-3 @ 5.31% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.28)1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.18)Other @ 3.96% Total : 45.44% |
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