Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
Result | ||
Walsall | Draw | MK Dons |
35.33% ( -0.02) | 27.08% ( 0) | 37.58% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.61% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.27% ( -0.01) | 54.72% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.95% ( -0.01) | 76.04% ( 0.01) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.46% ( -0.02) | 29.53% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.44% ( -0.02) | 65.55% ( 0.02) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.82% ( 0) | 28.17% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.14% ( 0) | 63.86% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Walsall | Draw | MK Dons |
1-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.19% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 35.32% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.08% | 0-1 @ 10.53% 1-2 @ 8.14% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.68% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.44% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.78% Total : 37.57% |
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