Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
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