Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 46.17%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 26.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.92%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match.
-0.14) 
0.2) 
