SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.16%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Worthing win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Morecambe |
28.62% ( 0.1) | 21.27% ( -0.08) | 50.1% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 68.18% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.34% ( 0.45) | 30.65% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.02% ( 0.54) | 51.98% ( -0.54) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.18% ( 0.29) | 21.82% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.96% ( 0.44) | 55.04% ( -0.45) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.21% ( 0.15) | 12.79% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.9% ( 0.31) | 39.1% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Morecambe |
| 2-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.49% Total : 28.62% | 1-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.27% | 1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 6.16% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.08)0-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 4.69% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 3.17% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 2.08% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)2-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.41% Total : 50.1% |
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