Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Notts County |
44.05% ( -0.01) | 24.23% ( 0) | 31.72% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.19% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.75% ( 0) | 43.25% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.35% ( 0) | 65.65% ( -0) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.19% ( -0) | 19.81% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.12% ( -0) | 51.87% ( 0) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.8% ( 0.01) | 26.19% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.71% ( 0.01) | 61.29% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 44.05% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.23% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.13% 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.72% |
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