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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Notts County has a probability of 31.71% and a draw has a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Notts County win is 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.25%).
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Notts County |
44.06% ( 0.37) | 24.23% ( -0.21) | 31.71% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 59.18% ( 0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.75% ( 0.9) | 43.25% ( -0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.35% ( 0.88) | 65.65% ( -0.88) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.19% ( 0.53) | 19.8% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.13% ( 0.86) | 51.87% ( -0.86) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.8% ( 0.33) | 26.2% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.7% ( 0.44) | 61.29% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.05% Total : 44.06% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.23% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.71% |
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