Nott County have proven to be resilient away from home in recent games, and it is difficult to see how they lose on Saturday. Additionally, while Crewe have the same defensive record as their opponents, their inferior offensive record may make them slight underdogs this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Notts County
44.05% ( -0.01)	24.23% ( 0)	31.72% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 59.19% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.75% (

43.25% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.35% (

65.65% (

-0)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.19% (

-0)

19.81% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.12% (

-0)

51.87% (

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.8% (

0.01)

26.19% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.71% (

0.01)

61.29% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 44.05%

Notts County 31.72%

Draw 24.23%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Notts County
2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 44.05%	1-1 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.23%	1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.13% 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.72%