Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
