SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 69.96%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 12.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-2 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
69.96% ( -1.7) | 17.55% ( 0.72) | 12.49% ( 0.97) |
| Both teams to score 53.01% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.54% ( -0.86) | 37.46% ( 0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.32% ( -0.93) | 59.68% ( 0.93) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.39% ( -0.62) | 9.61% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.89% ( -1.47) | 32.11% ( 1.47) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.65% ( 1.02) | 41.35% ( -1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.13% ( 0.89) | 77.87% ( -0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 2-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.13)1-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.36)3-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.36)4-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.24)5-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.12)5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.22% Total : 69.96% | 1-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.18)0-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.55% | 1-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.48% Total : 12.49% |
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