Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 59.36%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 17.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.