Harrogate
1 - 0
Carlisle

Armstrong (7')
Diarra (32'), Diamond (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dickenson (33')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Third Round clash between Harrogate Town and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate Town	Draw	Carlisle United
35.5%	25.85%	38.64%

Both teams to score 54.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.41%

49.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.39%

71.61%

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.05%

26.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.72%

62.27%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.82%

25.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.1%

59.89%

Score Analysis

Harrogate Town 35.5%

Carlisle United 38.64%

Draw 25.84%

Harrogate Town	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 8.89% 2-1 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 5.83% 3-1 @ 3.52% 3-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.09% Total : 35.5%	1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.78% 2-2 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.84%	0-1 @ 9.36% 1-2 @ 8.46% 0-2 @ 6.45% 1-3 @ 3.89% 0-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.55% 1-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.64%