Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
