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League Two | Gameweek 22
Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Breyer Group Stadium
SU

Leyton Orient
2 - 0
Sutton

Smyth (62'), Smith (79')
El Mizouni (2'), Archibald (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

John (32')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Leyton Orient 4-0 Sutton United

Leyton Orient have emerged as promotion favourites this season with an outstanding run of form, and they should be able to breeze past an inconsistent Sutton side. The O's were 3-0 victors against promotion-chasing Bradford last time out, so they could go one better, and romp to a comprehensive victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 19.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawSutton United
56.96% (-0.546 -0.55) 23.61% (0.107 0.11) 19.43% (0.434 0.43)
Both teams to score 48.96% (0.39 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.06% (0.149 0.15)50.94% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.19% (0.13 0.13)72.81% (-0.13499999999999 -0.13)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.32% (-0.14500000000001 -0.15)17.68% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.69% (-0.248 -0.25)48.31% (0.24299999999999 0.24)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.47% (0.577 0.58)40.52% (-0.58 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.87% (0.515 0.52)77.13% (-0.51900000000001 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 56.96%
    Sutton United 19.43%
    Draw 23.6%
Leyton OrientDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 12.41% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 10.75% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.21% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.69% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.43% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 56.96%
1-1 @ 11.21% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.16% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.39% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 23.6%
0-1 @ 6.47% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.06% (0.104 0.1)
0-2 @ 2.92% (0.073 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.53% (0.055 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 19.43%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-0 Bradford
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-2 Leyton Orient
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Leyton Orient
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Salford City
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-0 Colchester
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Sutton
Saturday, December 3 at 1pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Sutton
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Sutton 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-2 Bradford
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-2 Farnborough Town
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup


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