Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 45.69%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 27.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
