Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.87%) and 1-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | Swindon Town |
47.77% (![]() | 21.67% (![]() | 30.56% (![]() |
Both teams to score 68.07% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.66% (![]() | 31.34% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.21% (![]() | 52.79% (![]() |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.23% (![]() | 13.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.92% (![]() | 41.08% (![]() |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.94% (![]() | 21.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.14% (![]() | 53.86% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | Swindon Town |
2-1 @ 8.88% (![]() 3-1 @ 5.87% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 5.75% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.7% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.57% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.77% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.27% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.87% Total : 47.77% | 1-1 @ 8.96% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.92% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.37% ( ![]() Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.67% | 1-2 @ 6.98% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.52% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.62% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.59% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.52% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.77% Total : 30.56% |
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