Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swindon Town in this match.
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