Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
