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League Two | Gameweek 44
Apr 23, 2022 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
ST

Hartlepool
0 - 3
Swindon


Ferguson (26')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McKirdy (40', 55'), Baudry (85')
Iandolo (36')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawSwindon Town
30.57%25.96%43.48%
Both teams to score 52.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.73%51.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.9%73.1%
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05%30.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75%67.25%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.55%23.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.54%57.46%
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 30.57%
    Swindon Town 43.47%
    Draw 25.95%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 8.51%
2-1 @ 7.24%
2-0 @ 4.99%
3-1 @ 2.83%
3-2 @ 2.05%
3-0 @ 1.95%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 30.57%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 7.26%
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 10.52%
1-2 @ 8.95%
0-2 @ 7.63%
1-3 @ 4.33%
0-3 @ 3.69%
2-3 @ 2.54%
1-4 @ 1.57%
0-4 @ 1.34%
2-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 43.47%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Rochdale 2-1 Hartlepool
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-1 Port Vale
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-2 Salford City
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-2 Mansfield
Tuesday, March 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 2-0 Hartlepool
Saturday, March 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Leyton Orient
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 1-4 Swindon
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Newport
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 0-0 Swindon
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 3-1 Swindon
Saturday, March 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Sutton
Tuesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in League Two


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