Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
