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League Two | Gameweek 21
Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
Lamex Stadium
CU

Stevenage
0 - 2
Carlisle


Wildin (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mellish (45'), Gibson (65' pen.)
Mellor (7')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Stevenage and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawCarlisle United
34.16%27.97%37.87%
Both teams to score 47.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.76%58.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.12%78.88%
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95%32.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.48%68.52%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.29%29.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.23%65.77%
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 34.16%
    Carlisle United 37.86%
    Draw 27.97%
StevenageDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.83%
2-1 @ 7.48%
2-0 @ 6.16%
3-1 @ 2.84%
3-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 34.16%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 9.52%
2-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.97%
0-1 @ 11.55%
1-2 @ 7.98%
0-2 @ 7.01%
1-3 @ 3.23%
0-3 @ 2.84%
2-3 @ 1.84%
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 37.86%

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