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League Two | 2nd Leg
May 20, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Edgeley Park
SC

Stockport
2 - 1
Salford City

Stockport win 3-1 on penalties
Olaofe (68'), Stretton (115')
Horsfall (19'), Camps (29'), Olaofe (34'), Rydel (66'), Sarcevic (75'), Knoyle (85'), Hippolyte (90+5')
FT
(aet)
Mallan (112')
Touray (49'), Watt (103')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salford City 1-0 Stockport
Saturday, May 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-0 Stockport
Saturday, May 13 at 7.45pm in League Two

We say: Stockport County 2-0 Salford City (Stockport win 2-1 on aggregate)

Although they lost the first leg, Stockport County have been in exceptional form, losing just two of their last 20 games, and we expect them to get the job done on Saturday. The fans could play a huge part in helping the Hatters overturn the one-goal deficit, with tickets now completely sold out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawSalford City
48.38% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 25.71% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 25.9% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.15% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)52.85% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.53% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)74.47% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)21.86% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.91% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)55.09% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.63% (0.0010000000000048 0)35.37% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.87% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)72.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 48.38%
    Salford City 25.9%
    Draw 25.71%
Stockport CountyDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 11.75%
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.94% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 48.38%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 7.73% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.67%
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 25.9%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Salford City 1-0 Stockport
Saturday, May 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Hartlepool
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-3 Stockport
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-2 Stockport
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Stockport
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-0 Stockport
Saturday, May 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-1 Gillingham
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Salford City
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 2-3 Salford City
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 2-0 Hartlepool
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-1 Colchester
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two


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