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League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Edgeley Park
SC

Stockport
1 - 1
Salford City

FT(HT: 1-0)
Hendry (51')
Mallan (67')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Stockport
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 1-3 Salford City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stockport County 1-1 Salford City

So much is at stake for both sides in the race for promotion, but they are very evenly-matched, and so we expect they will have to settle for a draw on Friday night. Salford have been very good away from home all season, but Stockport are League Two's form side, and they have not lost a league game at Edgeley Park since November. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 49.72%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawSalford City
49.72% (0.52 0.52) 24.8% (-0.1 -0.1) 25.48% (-0.419 -0.42)
Both teams to score 52.93% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.51% (0.092999999999996 0.09)49.48% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.48% (0.084000000000003 0.08)71.52% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.08% (0.253 0.25)19.92% (-0.252 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.94% (0.406 0.41)52.06% (-0.40600000000001 -0.41)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.09% (-0.29700000000001 -0.3)33.91% (0.299 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.42% (-0.322 -0.32)70.58% (0.32299999999999 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 49.72%
    Salford City 25.48%
    Draw 24.79%
Stockport CountyDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 10.89% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.034999999999998 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.79% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.059 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.73% (0.092 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.052 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 49.72%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 7.31% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.37% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.95% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 25.48%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Stockport
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Mansfield
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Stockport
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 0-0 Gillingham
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 0-0 Doncaster
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Stockport
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 1-3 Salford City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Doncaster
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 4-3 Salford City
Friday, March 10 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 3-1 Newport
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-1 Salford City
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-5 Salford City
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two


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