Knowing just a draw will do could be a hindrance to Salford, but they still should have more than enough to take all three points here.
Gillingham have been sensational in 2023 to pull themselves away from danger, but they are not overly fancied to stand in Salford's way here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 16.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.02) 
