Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Mansfield Town | 46 | 15 | 77 |
8 | Sutton United | 46 | 16 | 76 |
9 | Tranmere Rovers | 46 | 13 | 75 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Newport County | 46 | 9 | 69 |
12 | Crawley Town | 46 | -10 | 61 |
13 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 15 | 58 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Crawley Town |
55.94% | 24.76% | 19.3% |
Both teams to score 45.48% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.52% | 55.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.33% | 76.66% |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.22% | 19.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.17% | 51.83% |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.69% | 43.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.44% | 79.55% |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Crawley Town |
1-0 @ 13.88% 2-0 @ 11.24% 2-1 @ 9.41% 3-0 @ 6.08% 3-1 @ 5.09% 4-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 2.06% Other @ 3.58% Total : 55.93% | 1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 8.57% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.65% Total : 24.76% | 0-1 @ 7.17% 1-2 @ 4.86% 0-2 @ 3% 1-3 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.81% Total : 19.3% |
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