With far more to play for and the incentive of moving four points clear of the playoff-chasing sides, Sutton United should have enough to get over the line on Tuesday, albeit with the visitors expected to put up a fight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton United	Draw	Crawley Town
55.94%	24.76%	19.3%

Both teams to score 45.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.52%

55.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.33%

76.66%

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.22%

19.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.17%

51.83%

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.69%

43.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.44%

79.55%

Score Analysis

Sutton United 55.93%

Crawley Town 19.3%

Draw 24.76%

Sutton United	Draw	Crawley Town
1-0 @ 13.88% 2-0 @ 11.24% 2-1 @ 9.41% 3-0 @ 6.08% 3-1 @ 5.09% 4-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 2.06% Other @ 3.58% Total : 55.93%	1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 8.57% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.65% Total : 24.76%	0-1 @ 7.17% 1-2 @ 4.86% 0-2 @ 3% 1-3 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.81% Total : 19.3%