Sutton may have won the reverse fixture, but Mansfield have proven to be a different beast altogether in home surroundings, and with the top three within reach, we think that the Stags will be too strong for the visitors on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Mansfield Town	Draw	Sutton United
47.08%	25.46%	27.46%

Both teams to score 52.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.18%

50.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.29%

72.71%

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.41%

21.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.31%

54.69%

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.98%

33.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.39%

69.61%

Score Analysis

Mansfield Town 47.07%

Sutton United 27.46%

Draw 25.45%

Mansfield Town	Draw	Sutton United
1-0 @ 10.92% 2-1 @ 9.28% 2-0 @ 8.38% 3-1 @ 4.74% 3-0 @ 4.28% 3-2 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.38% Total : 47.07%	1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 7.13% 2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.45%	0-1 @ 7.9% 1-2 @ 6.71% 0-2 @ 4.38% 1-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 1.9% 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.48% Total : 27.46%