Sutton may have won the reverse fixture, but Mansfield have proven to be a different beast altogether in home surroundings, and with the top three within reach, we think that the Stags will be too strong for the visitors on Friday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
