Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stockport County in this match.