Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 17.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.02) 
