Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
-0.23) 
0.27) 
