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League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
One Call Stadium
SU

Mansfield
0 - 0
Sutton


Gale (47')
FT

Bugiel (40'), Kizzi (70'), Randall (77'), Beautyman (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 Grimsby Town
Wednesday, March 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Mansfield Town 1-1 Sutton United

With both sides battling for promotion to League One, we expect Mansfield Town and Sutton United to play out a cagey draw at the One Call Stadium, keeping themselves in the mix for a playoff spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawSutton United
42.12% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 26.71%31.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.93% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)54.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.5% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)75.5% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.62% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)25.38% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.82% (0.010000000000005 0.01)60.18% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)31.96% (0.011999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59% (-0.012 -0.01)68.42% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 42.12%
    Sutton United 31.18%
    Draw 26.7%
Mansfield TownDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 11.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.63% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.49% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.27%
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 42.12%
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 8.11% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 5.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.18%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 Grimsby Town
Wednesday, March 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Mansfield
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 1-0 Mansfield
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-3 Mansfield
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-5 Salford City
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 0-2 Mansfield
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 0-0 Sutton
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 3-0 Crawley
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-2 Sutton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 2-0 Doncaster
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League Two


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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