Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0.02) 
