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League Two | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
ST

Grimsby Town
1 - 2
Swindon

Taylor (25')
Glennon (48')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Jephcott (13'), Darcy (44')
Khan (49'), Hutton (85'), Jephcott (87'), Blake-Tracy (90+7')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-0 Mansfield
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Swindon 1-3 Plymouth
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Grimsby Town 1-1 Swindon Town

So far Grimsby Town have been unable to win a single league match at home, but equally, they have not been beaten yet either. While both teams will be hoping to take three points to push into a playoff position, they could end up cancelling each other out instead. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawSwindon Town
29.7% (-0.392 -0.39) 27.76% (0.537 0.54) 42.54% (-0.146 -0.15)
Both teams to score 47.08% (-1.715 -1.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.52% (-2.095 -2.1)58.48% (2.093 2.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.93% (-1.664 -1.66)79.07% (1.663 1.66)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.65% (-1.407 -1.41)35.35% (1.406 1.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.89% (-1.491 -1.49)72.11% (1.491 1.49)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82% (-1.048 -1.05)27.18% (1.047 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.41% (-1.387 -1.39)62.59% (1.386 1.39)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 29.7%
    Swindon Town 42.53%
    Draw 27.75%
Grimsby TownDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 9.99% (0.407 0.41)
2-1 @ 6.77% (-0.181 -0.18)
2-0 @ 5.2% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.35% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.53% (-0.151 -0.15)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 29.7%
1-1 @ 13.01% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 9.61% (0.738 0.74)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.254 -0.25)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.75%
0-1 @ 12.51% (0.61 0.61)
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-2 @ 8.15% (0.165 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-3 @ 3.54% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.171 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.15% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 42.53%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-0 Mansfield
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Gillingham
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Derby 3-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Walsall 1-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-3 Plymouth
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Doncaster 0-1 Swindon
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 3-2 Sutton
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-0 Swindon
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-2 Palace U21s
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Stockport 1-1 Swindon
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two


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