Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0) 
