SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
35.33% ( -0.18) | 26.03% ( -0.17) | 38.63% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 54.03% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.6% ( 0.69) | 50.39% ( -0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.67% ( 0.61) | 72.33% ( -0.61) |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.56% ( 0.22) | 27.43% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.08% ( 0.28) | 62.91% ( -0.28) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.45% ( 0.51) | 25.54% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.59% ( 0.69) | 60.4% ( -0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 35.33% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.49% Total : 38.63% |
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