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League Two | Gameweek 28
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
ST

Crewe
2 - 1
Swindon

Nevitt (13'), Baker-Richardson (71')
Thomas (56'), Rowe (72'), Nevitt (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Austin (30')
Kinsella (17'), Minturn (20'), Austin (34')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 0-1 Crewe
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 2-2 Colchester
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.21%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawSwindon Town
32.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 23.36% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 43.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 62.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.34% (0.010000000000005 0.01)38.66% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.03% (0.009999999999998 0.01)60.97% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.65% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)23.35% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.68% (0.014000000000003 0.01)57.32% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.97% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)18.02% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.09%48.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 32.78%
    Swindon Town 43.86%
    Draw 23.35%
Crewe AlexandraDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 7.63% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 6.12%
2-0 @ 4.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 32.78%
1-1 @ 10.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.81% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.35%
1-2 @ 8.99% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 7.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 5.13%
2-3 @ 3.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.2%
2-4 @ 1.6%
0-4 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 43.86%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Mansfield 0-1 Crewe
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Bradford
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-1 Crewe
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 2-0 Crewe
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-3 Barrow
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 3-3 Accrington
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 2-2 Colchester
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 3-1 Swindon
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Forest Green
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Wrexham
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 2-1 Swindon
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-3 Barrow
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two


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