Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.21%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Swindon Town |
32.78% ( 0.01) | 23.36% ( -0) | 43.86% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 62.83% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.34% ( 0.01) | 38.66% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.03% ( 0.01) | 60.97% ( -0.01) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.65% ( 0.01) | 23.35% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.68% ( 0.01) | 57.32% ( -0.01) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.97% ( -0) | 18.02% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.09% | 48.91% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Swindon Town |
2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.12% 2-0 @ 4.45% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.05% Total : 32.78% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.21% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.35% | 1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.21% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.13% 2-3 @ 3.73% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.53% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.2% 2-4 @ 1.6% 0-4 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.78% Total : 43.86% |
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