Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 47.82%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 25.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.