Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 48.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 24.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.48%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-0 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.