SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 37.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Grimsby Town |
37.08% ( 0.03) | 25.45% ( 0.01) | 37.46% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.16% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.28% ( -0.03) | 47.72% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.08% ( -0.03) | 69.91% ( 0.03) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.83% ( 0) | 25.16% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.11% ( 0) | 59.88% ( -0) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.04% ( -0.03) | 24.96% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.4% ( -0.04) | 59.6% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.75% Total : 37.08% | 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 8.72% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.05% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 1.79% Total : 37.46% |
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