Neither side has began the season very well, meaning that there is likely to be a lack of confidence on display when the two teams take to the field on Saturday.
Having both lost all bar one of their matches, there could be an element of aiming to avoid another defeat, so we can envisage a share of the spoils ensuing.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.
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