Both sides are in poor form at the moment, with Grimsby particularly struggling to win home matches, so the likely outcome is a draw. In light of Tranmere struggling in front of goal, and the Mariners not scoring in two of their last three games, a stalemate is a real possibility.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
0.18) 
-0.21) 
