Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
-0.59) 
0.01) 
