Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
-0.1) 
0.15) 
