With Gillingham currently on a worse run of form than Rochdale, we predict Newport County to condemn Jim Bentley's side to a fifth defeat in their last six matches.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 36.36%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
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