SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 62.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 16.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Hearts win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Hearts |
62.72% ( -5.21) | 20.69% ( 1.87) | 16.59% ( 3.35) |
| Both teams to score 52.84% ( 2.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.96% ( -1.47) | 43.04% ( 1.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.56% ( -1.47) | 65.44% ( 1.47) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.88% ( -1.88) | 13.12% ( 1.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.23% ( -3.97) | 39.77% ( 3.97) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.82% ( 3.67) | 39.17% ( -3.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.11% ( 3.28) | 75.88% ( -3.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Hearts |
| 2-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.9) 1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 7.18% ( -1.21)3-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.38)4-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.94)4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.47)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.52)5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.31)Other @ 3.17% Total : 62.71% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.86) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.52)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.69% | 0-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.74) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.8)0-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.53)2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.29)1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.36)Other @ 2.04% Total : 16.59% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
