SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 82.1%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 6.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 3-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.22%), while for a Hearts win it was 1-2 (2.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Hearts |
82.1% ( 0.2) | 11.45% ( -0.11) | 6.45% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 51.33% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.21% ( 0.25) | 26.79% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.77% ( 0.32) | 47.23% ( -0.32) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.17% ( 0.08) | 4.83% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.54% ( 0.24) | 19.46% ( -0.24) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.93% ( -0.03) | 46.07% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.23% ( -0.03) | 81.77% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Hearts |
| 3-0 @ 10.31% 2-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 8% ( -0)2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0)6-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)7-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.46% Total : 82.09% | 1-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.93% Total : 11.45% | 1-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.7% Total : 6.45% |
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