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Serie A | Gameweek 35
May 5, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
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AC Milan
3 - 3
Genoa

Florenzi (45'), Gabbia (72'), Giroud (75')
Reijnders (43')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Retegui (5' pen.), Ekuban (48'), Thiaw (87' og.)
Vasquez (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 3-0 Cagliari
Monday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-1 Genoa

As Milan's momentum has been lost - and several players will be absent - plucky Genoa can capitalise by extending their hosts' winless streak and taking a point back home to Liguria. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 57.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawGenoa
57.32% (-0.705 -0.7) 23.12% (0.436 0.44) 19.56% (0.268 0.27)
Both teams to score 50.62% (-0.92299999999999 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.17% (-1.451 -1.45)48.83% (1.449 1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.07% (-1.331 -1.33)70.93% (1.328 1.33)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.21% (-0.756 -0.76)16.79% (0.753 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.25% (-1.362 -1.36)46.75% (1.358 1.36)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.83% (-0.553 -0.55)39.16% (0.55099999999999 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.12% (-0.521 -0.52)75.88% (0.518 0.52)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 57.31%
    Genoa 19.56%
    Draw 23.12%
AC MilanDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 11.73% (0.4 0.4)
2-0 @ 10.46% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.23% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.84% (-0.184 -0.18)
4-0 @ 2.78% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.129 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.151 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.09 -0.09)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 57.31%
1-1 @ 10.99% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.383 0.38)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 23.12%
0-1 @ 6.16% (0.271 0.27)
1-2 @ 5.16% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.89% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 0.9% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 19.56%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Juventus 0-0 AC Milan
Saturday, April 27 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-2 Inter Milan
Monday, April 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-1 AC Milan
Thursday, April 18 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sassuolo 3-3 AC Milan
Sunday, April 14 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Roma
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: AC Milan 3-0 Lecce
Saturday, April 6 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 3-0 Cagliari
Monday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 0-1 Lazio
Friday, April 19 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 Genoa
Monday, April 15 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-2 Genoa
Sunday, April 7 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-1 Frosinone
Saturday, March 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 0-0 Genoa
Sunday, March 17 at 11.30am in Serie A


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