Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 60.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Roma had a probability of 17.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.